Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.040258 0.043945 0.047824 0.052211 0.057040 0.062195 0.068122
2026-02-01 0.032255 0.037337 0.043031 0.049898 0.057973 0.067188 0.078533
2026-02-08 0.026912 0.032709 0.039554 0.048266 0.059105 0.072201 0.089313
2026-02-15 0.023047 0.029185 0.036762 0.046860 0.060045 0.076786 0.099829
2026-02-22 0.020774 0.027269 0.035606 0.047178 0.062954 0.083896 0.114111
2026-03-01 0.018292 0.024760 0.033346 0.045690 0.063160 0.087272 0.123534
2026-03-08 0.015853 0.022036 0.030486 0.043011 0.061331 0.087495 0.128320
2026-03-15 0.014327 0.020415 0.028966 0.042011 0.061693 0.090732 0.137666
2026-03-22 0.013510 0.019716 0.028664 0.042703 0.064534 0.097788 0.153430
2026-03-29 0.012794 0.019091 0.028396 0.043381 0.067357 0.104997 0.170089
2026-04-05 0.011883 0.018091 0.027468 0.042932 0.068324 0.109298 0.182334
2026-04-12 0.011094 0.017212 0.026646 0.042558 0.069337 0.113701 0.195107
2026-04-19 0.010251 0.016201 0.025567 0.041720 0.069576 0.116949 0.206443
2026-04-26 0.009364 0.015058 0.024195 0.040285 0.068680 0.118181 0.214319
2026-05-03 0.008626 0.014105 0.023063 0.039160 0.068214 0.120109 0.223674
2026-05-10 0.007975 0.013250 0.022029 0.038115 0.067783 0.122027 0.233171
2026-05-17 0.007617 0.012867 0.021766 0.038405 0.069791 0.128602 0.252489
2026-05-24 0.007050 0.012080 0.020744 0.037230 0.068945 0.129660 0.260710
2026-05-31 0.006382 0.011071 0.019263 0.035091 0.066070 0.126506 0.259786
2026-06-07 0.005971 0.010498 0.018524 0.034292 0.065734 0.128339 0.269670
2026-06-14 0.005786 0.010322 0.018496 0.034848 0.068128 0.135901 0.292904
2026-06-21 0.005611 0.010151 0.018465 0.035392 0.070536 0.143698 0.317553
2026-06-28 0.005330 0.009765 0.018000 0.035033 0.071033 0.147476 0.333336